An
insurance company is offering a new policy to its customers. Typically,
the policy is bought by a parent or grandparent for a child at the
child’s birth. The details of the policy are as follows: The purchaser
(say, the parent) makes the following six payments to the insurance
company:
First birthday: | $ | 790 | |
Second birthday: | $ | 790 | |
Third birthday: | $ | 890 | |
Fourth birthday: | $ | 850 | |
Fifth birthday: | $ | 990 | |
Sixth birthday: | $ | 950 | |
|
After
the child’s sixth birthday, no more payments are made. When the child
reaches age 65, he or she receives $290,000. The relevant interest rate
is 10 percent for the first six years and 7 percent for all subsequent
years. |
Find the future value of the payment at the child's 65th birthday. (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
|
Future value | $ |
Explanation:
We
need to find the FV of the premiums to compare with the cash payment
promised at age 65. We have to find the value of the premiums at year 6
first since the interest rate changes at that time. So:
|
FV1 = $790(1.10)5 = $1,272.30 |
FV2 = $790(1.10)4 = $1,156.64 |
FV3 = $890(1.10)3 = $1,184.59 |
FV4 = $850(1.10)2 = $1,028.50 |
FV5 = $990(1.10)1 = $1,089.00 |
Value at Year 6 = $1,272.30 + 1,156.64 + 1,184.59 + 1,028.50 + 1,089.00 + 950 |
Value at Year 6 = $6,681.03 |
Finding the FV of this lump sum at the child’s 65th birthday: |
FV = $6,681.03(1.07)59 = $361,814.88 |
The
policy is not worth buying; the future value of the deposits is
$361,814.88, but the policy contract will pay off $290,000. The premiums
are worth $71,814.88 more than the policy payoff.
|
Note, we could also compare the PV of the two cash flows. The PV of the premiums is: |
PV = $790/1.10 + $790/1.102 + $890/1.103 + $850/1.104 + $990/1.105 + $950/1.106 |
PV = $3,771.27 |
And the value today of the $290,000 at age 65 is: |
PV = $290,000/1.0759 = $5,354.95 |
PV = $5,354.95/1.106 = $3,022.73 |
The
premiums still have the higher cash flow. At time zero, the difference
is $748.54. Whenever you are comparing two or more cash flow streams,
the cash flow with the highest value at one time will have the highest
value at any other time.
|
Here
is a question for you: Suppose you invest $748.54, the difference in
the cash flows at time zero, for six years at a 10 percent interest
rate, and then for 59 years at a 7 percent interest rate. How much will
it be worth? Without doing calculations, you know it will be worth
$71,814.88, the difference in the cash flows at time 65!
|
Calculator Solution: |
Note: Intermediate answers are shown below as rounded, but the full answer was used to complete the calculation.
|
Value at Year 6: |
Enter |
5
|
10%
|
$790
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$1,272.30
|
Enter |
4
|
10%
|
$790
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$1,156.64
|
Enter |
3
|
10%
|
$890
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$1,184.59
|
Enter |
2
|
10%
|
$850
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$1,028.50
|
Enter |
1
|
10%
|
$990
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$1,089.00
|
So, at Year 5, the value is: $1,272.30 + 1,156.64 + 1,184.59 + 1,028.50 + 1,089.00 + 950 = $6,681.03 |
At Year 65, the value is: |
Enter |
59
|
7%
|
$6,681.03
| | | ||||||||||
| |
N
| | |
I/Y
| | |
PV
| | |
PMT
| | |
FV
| |
Solve for | | | | |
$361,814.88
|
The
policy is not worth buying; the future value of the deposits is
$361,814.88 but the policy contract will pay off $290,000.00.
|
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