Showing posts with label discounted payback. Show all posts
Showing posts with label discounted payback. Show all posts

Wednesday, 9 July 2014

Consider the following two mutually exclusive projects:

Consider the following two mutually exclusive projects:   
Year Cash Flow (A) Cash Flow (B)
0 –$ 348,000 –$ 51,000
1 47,000 24,200
2 67,000 22,200
3 67,000 19,700
4 442,000 14,800

  
Whichever project you choose, if any, you require a 14 percent return on your investment.

a-1
What is the payback period for each project? (Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

Payback period
  Project A years  
  Project B years  


a-2 If you apply the payback criterion, which investment will you choose?
Project B

b-1
What is the discounted payback period for each project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
  
Discounted payback period
  Project A years  
  Project B years  

  
b-2 If you apply the discounted payback criterion, which investment will you choose?
Project B

c-1
What is the NPV for each project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
  
NPV
  Project A $   
  Project B $   


c-2 If you apply the NPV criterion, which investment will you choose?
Project A

d-1
What is the IRR for each project? (Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

IRR
  Project A %  
  Project B %  


d-2 If you apply the IRR criterion, which investment will you choose?
Project B

e-1
What is the profitability index for each project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 3 decimal places. (e.g., 32.161))
  
Profitability index
  Project A    
  Project B     


e-2 If you apply the profitability index criterion, which investment will you choose?
Project B
f Based on your answers in (a) through (e), which project will you finally choose?
Project A


Explanation: a.

The payback period for each project is:
  
A: 3 + ($167,000/$442,000) = 3.38 years
B: 2 + ($4,600/$19,700) = 2.23 years
  
The payback criterion implies accepting Project B, because it pays back sooner than project A.

b.

The discounted payback for each project is:
  
A: $47,000/1.14 + $67,000/1.142 + $67,000/1.143 = $138,005.49
$442,000/1.144 = $261,699.48
Discounted payback = 3 + ($348,000 – 138,005.49)/$261,699.48 = 3.80 years
B: $24,200/1.14 + $22,200/1.142 = $38,310.25
$19,700/1.143 = $13,296.94
Discounted payback = 2 + ($51,000 – 38,310.25)/$13,296.94 = 2.95 years
  
The discounted payback criterion implies accepting Project B because it pays back sooner than A.

c.

The NPV for each project is:
  
A: NPV = –$348,000 + $47,000/1.14 + $67,000/1.142 + $67,000/1.143 + $442,000/1.144
NPV = $51,704.97
B: NPV = –$51,000 + $24,200/1.14 + $22,200/1.142 + $19,700/1.143 + $14,800/1.144
NPV = $9,369.98
  
NPV criterion implies we accept project A because project A has a higher NPV than project B.

d.

The IRR for each project is:
  
A: $348,000 = $47,000/(1+IRR) + $67,000/(1+IRR)2 + $67,000/(1+IRR)3 + $442,000/(1+IRR)4
Using a spreadsheet, financial calculator, or trial and error to find the root of the equation, we find that:
IRR = 18.89%
B: $51,000 = $24,200/(1+IRR) + $22,200/(1+IRR)2 + $19,700/(1+IRR)3 + $14,800/(1+IRR)4
Using a spreadsheet, financial calculator, or trial and error to find the root of the equation, we find that:
IRR = 23.47%
  
IRR decision rule implies we accept Project B because IRR for B is greater than IRR for A.

e.

The profitability index for each project is:
  
A: PI = ($47,000/1.14 + $67,000/1.142 + $67,000/1.143 + $442,000/1.144) / $348,000 = 1.149
B: PI = ($24,200/1.14 + $22,200/1.142 + $19,700/1.143 + $14,800/1.144) / $51,000 = 1.184
  
Profitability index criterion implies accept Project B because its PI is greater than Project A’s.

Calculator Solution:
Note: Intermediate answers are shown below as rounded, but the full answer was used to complete  the calculation.
   
CF(A) c. d. e.
CFo
 –$348,000
CFo
 –$348,000
CFo
 $0
C01
 $47,000
C01
 $47,000
C01
 $47,000
F01
 1
F01
 1
F01
 1
C02
 $67,000
C02
 $67,000
C02
 $67,000
F02
 2
F02
 2
F02
 2
C03
 $442,000
C03
 $442,000
C03
 $442,000
F03
 1
F03
 1
F03
 1
  I = 14%   IRR CPT   I = 14%
  NPV CPT   18.89%   NPV CPT
  $51,704.97      $399,704.97
    
PI = $399,704.97 / $348,000 = 1.149
    
CF(B) c. d. e.
CFo
 –$51,000
CFo
 –$51,000
CFo
 $0
C01
 $24,200
C01
 $24,200
C01
 $24,200
F01
 1
F01
 1
F01
 1
C02
 $22,200
C02
 $22,200
C02
 $22,200
F02
 1
F02
 1
F02
 1
C03
 $19,700
C03
 $19,700
C03
 $19,700
F03
 1
F03
 1
F03
 1
C04
 $14,800
C04
 $14,800
C04
 $14,800
F04
 1
F04
 1
F04
 1
  I = 14%   IRR CPT   I = 14%
  NPV CPT   23.47%   NPV CPT
  $9,369.98      $60,369.98
    
PI = $60,369.98 / $51,000 = 1.184

f.
The final decision should be based on the NPV since it does not have the ranking problem associated with the other capital budgeting techniques.

An investment project has annual cash inflows of $4,400, $3,900, $5,100, and $4,300, and a discount rate of 14 percent.

An investment project has annual cash inflows of $4,400, $3,900, $5,100, and $4,300, and a discount rate of 14 percent.
  
What is the discounted payback period for these cash flows if the initial cost is $5,700? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

  Discounted payback period years  

What is the discounted payback period for these cash flows if the initial cost is $7,800? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))

  Discounted payback period years  

What is the discounted payback period for these cash flows if the initial cost is $10,800? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
  
  Discounted payback period years  


Explanation:
When we use discounted payback, we need to find the value of all cash flows today. The value today of the project cash flows for the first four years is:

Value today of Year 1 cash flow = $4,400 / 1.14 = $3,859.65
Value today of Year 2 cash flow = $3,900 / 1.142 = $3,000.92
Value today of Year 3 cash flow = $5,100 / 1.143 = $3,442.35
Value today of Year 4 cash flow = $4,300 / 1.144 = $2,545.95

To find the discounted payback, we use these values to find the payback period. The discounted first year cash flow is $3,859.65, so the discounted payback for a $5,700 initial cost is:
Discounted payback = 1 + ($5,700 – 3,859.65) / $3,000.92 = 1.61 years


For an initial cost of $7,800, the discounted payback is:
Discounted payback = 2 + ($7,800 – 3,859.65 – 3,000.92) / $3,442.35 = 2.27 years
Notice the calculation of discounted payback. We know the payback period is between two and three years, so we subtract the discounted values of the Year 1 and Year 2 cash flows from the initial cost. This is the numerator, which is the discounted amount we still need to make to recover our initial investment. We divide this amount by the discounted amount we will earn in Year 3 to get the fractional portion of the discounted payback.
If the initial cost is $10,800, the discounted payback is:
Discounted payback = 3 + ($10,800 – 3,859.65 – 3,000.92 – 3,442.35) / $2,545.95 = 3.20 years